How the 24-hour crypto prediction works
Every signal on SuperCoin comes from the same transparent, rules-based model. For the time range you pick, it reads the coin's recent candles and asks one question: is the price more likely to be higher or lower when the range ends?
Why it bets on snap-backs, not trends
Before launch we tested the usual approach, following trend, momentum and MACD, on six months of hourly data for the 100 most traded coins. It was right only 48% of the time 24 hours later: worse than a coin flip. Over a single day, crypto moves tend to partly reverse. So the model leans against stretched prices instead, which was right about 53% of the time when tested period by period.
The three signals
- Stretch vs recent range (65%)
- Where the price sits in its 20-hour Bollinger band. A coin pushed far above its recent range tends to pull back over the next day, and one pushed far below tends to bounce.
- 3-day move (21%)
- How far the price has run over the last 72 hours, measured against how much this coin normally moves. Strong runs often cool off; sharp drops often recover part of the loss.
- Trend (14%)
- A 12-hour average against a 48-hour average. It gives a small push in the direction of the trend.
From signals to a forecast
Each signal gets a score from −1 (bearish) to +1 (bullish). The weighted scores become a probability that the price is higher in 24 hours. Most coins land between 45% and 58%, and the probability is capped between 35% and 65%, because the honest edge over a one-day crypto move is small.
- Strong HIGH: 57% or more chance of a higher price
- HIGH: 53% to 57%
- WAIT: between 47% and 53%, so no clear direction
- LOW: 43% to 47%
- Strong LOW: 43% or less
The expected price and likely range use the coin's own volatility: a calm coin gets a narrow range, a volatile meme coin a wide one.
Any time range, from 5 minutes to 7 days
The same three signals work at every range; only the candle size changes. A 15-minute signal reads 1-minute candles, a 4-hour signal reads 15-minute candles, a 24-hour signal reads hourly candles and a 7-day signal reads 8-hour candles. HIGH means the price is more likely to be above today's price when the range ends, LOW means below, and WAIT means the odds are too close to call.
Tested on the 50 most traded coins in October 2026, the share of HIGH and LOW calls that were right:
| Time range | Right | Coins above 50% |
|---|---|---|
| 5 min | 51.5% | 36 of 50 |
| 15 min | 52.4% | 39 of 50 |
| 30 min | 57.1% | 43 of 50 |
| 1 hour | 50.1% | 28 of 50 |
| 4 hours | 52.5% | 37 of 49 |
| 12 hours | 50.9% | 28 of 49 |
| 24 hours | 49.9% | 25 of 49 |
| 3 days | 54.6% | 40 of 47 |
| 7 days | 52.0% | 33 of 47 |
Short ranges were tested on about a day of 1-minute data, long ranges on months to years of data. Results swing from week to week; that is why each coin page shows a fresh track record for the range you pick.
Real-time updates
Prices stream live from Binance's public market data. On each coin's page, the forecast is recalculated in your browser with every trade. The coin list is rebuilt on our server every few minutes.
How accurate is it?
Close to a coin flip, with a small edge at most ranges and none at some (see the table above). At 24 hours it was 53.7% right over 40 days but 49.9% over 75 days. Every coin page shows its own track record at the range you pick, next to how often the price simply rose. Technical signals cannot see news, hacks, listings or regulation, which often move crypto the most. Treat a signal as a slight tilt of the odds, never a sure thing.
Not financial advice. Use these forecasts as one input among many, never as the only reason to buy or sell. See the risk disclaimer.